DEEP RESEARCH · Nexteel
Nexteel: Alaska LNG Upside and the 42-Inch Mainline Risk
A pipe value-chain review of Alaska LNG, POSCO International, 26-inch ERW, and Pohang Plant 3 timing.
0. Bottom line first
Nexteel’s realistic Alaska LNG upside is feeder and gathering lines using its 26-inch ERW strength, not the full 42-inch mainline. The October 2027 Pohang Plant 3 delay is the key timing risk.

1. Project scale
Official fact: Alaska LNG is presented as a USD 45bn, roughly KRW 64tn project with 20 million tons per year, or 20 MTPA, of LNG capacity after completion.
Official fact: The pipeline is 807 miles, about 1,300km, requiring 42-inch pipe, 2,075 psig or about 143 bar pressure, API 5L X80 or above, low-temperature toughness, and strain-based design.
2. Nexteel position
Official fact: Nexteel built a 26-inch ERW line in July 2023, described as Asia’s largest. But ERW is generally limited to 24-26 inches, making the 42-inch mainline difficult with current equipment.
26-inch ERW
Suitable for feeder and gathering lines.
KRW 193.3bn
Roll-bending and spiral equipment, 36% of equity.
October 2027
Pohang Plant 3 startup is presented as delayed by about two years.
3. Performance scenario
| Item | Assumption | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Total steel | About 1.2mn tons | Total pipeline demand |
| Addressable | 20%, 240,000 tons | Feeder, gathering, plant piping |
| Nexteel volume | 70,000-120,000 tons | 30-50% share assumption |
| Price per ton | KRW 2.0-2.5mn | X80 high-spec pipe |
| Additional revenue | KRW 140-300bn | Potential project contribution |
4. Risks and conclusion

- Q3 2024 standalone revenue was about KRW 121.9bn.
- Korean steel and pipe are under a Section 232 quota of about 2.63mn tons per year.
- More than 90% of revenue comes from exports, especially North America.
- Environmental litigation, permitting, funding, and FID delays are project risks.
Nexteel is best viewed as a high-beta feeder-line play inside POSCO International’s supply channel, not the default mainline winner.
Sources
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