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DEEP RESEARCH · POSCO HYDROGEN STEEL

POSCO Hydrogen Steel: Electricity Cost Is the Key Risk in the KRW 40 Trillion Shift

A news memo on why electricity cost and policy support become the bottlenecks when steelmaking moves from coal to hydrogen

Published: 2026-01-01 · Industrial transition risk review · Original Naver Blog post

You are responsible for your own investment decisions. This material is research and is not a buy or sell recommendation.

0. Bottom Line First

POSCO's KRW 40 trillion hydrogen-steel push is less about whether low-carbon steel is the right direction and more about whether cheap hydrogen and cheap electricity can be secured at scale.

Official fact: According to the Maeil Business News summary, POSCO is investing KRW 40 trillion to make molten iron with hydrogen instead of coal, and plans to begin construction this year on a pilot plant costing KRW 800 billion.

Interpretation: The technological direction is set, but if expensive electricity and hydrogen remain the operating baseline, equipment investment alone will not secure competitiveness. To compete with countries such as Germany and Japan, where trillion-won-scale support is being deployed in the early market, Korea needs to examine power-procurement rules and subsidies together.

1. Key Numbers in the News

Maeil Business News card about POSCO hydrogen steel
ItemSource detailInvestor read
Total investmentKRW 40 trillionThis is a long-term shift in the steelmaking method, not a small process improvement.
Pilot plantKRW 800 billion, construction to begin this yearThe first gate for testing technology, cost, and power procurement before commercialization.
Process changeUse hydrogen instead of coal to make molten ironCarbon reduction requires simultaneous change in feedstock and energy.
Main bottleneckExpensive hydrogen and electricityHydrogen-steel economics are directly tied to power tariffs and hydrogen supply cost.

2. Cost-Structure Frame

Hydrogen-Steel EconomicsOperating cost matters as much as capex
HydrogenCoal replacement feedstock
ElectricityHydrogen production and plant operation
PolicyNuclear direct purchase and subsidies
PeersGermany and Japan support packages
Without cheap energy and early state support, payback on KRW 40 trillion of investment may stretch out.

The article card's key line is that the plant cannot operate without cheap hydrogen and electricity. It also says POSCO wants direct purchases of nuclear power, while the government is reluctant. In my view, that is the most important policy variable in the hydrogen-steel investment case.

Official fact: The article summary says Germany and Japan are pouring trillion-won-scale support into the early hydrogen-steel market.

Interpretation: Hydrogen steel is hard to solve through corporate capex alone. Differences in power prices, subsidies, and procurement rules can become direct differences in steelmaker cost competitiveness.

3. Checkpoints

  • After pilot-plant construction begins, watch the actual operating-cost disclosures and power-procurement structure.
  • Track whether the government supports the transition through nuclear direct purchase, industrial electricity tariffs, hydrogen subsidies, or some combination.
  • Compare Korea's early cost-offset mechanisms with those of Germany and Japan.